Happynomics
Scientific valuation of pain & suffering

What is suffering worth?

Medical bills measure treatment, not suffering. A multiplier just rescales that same bill — it never looks at the person. Happynomics measures the loss itself — the diminished well-being — and turns it into a defensible dollar figure, with the evidence attached.

Built on national survey data of thousands of Americans Peer-reviewed methodology Confidence bounds on every estimate
Instant estimate
Estimated well-being loss — present value
$0
$0/year · $0/day · —
Open the full calculator ↓
Representative U.S. panel data Government-grade valuation standards Transparent, testable models One methodology, both sides of the table
01The Problem
A healthy man has many wishes; a sick man only one.
— Proverb

The law promises to make people whole. Its math doesn't.

For as long as courts have awarded damages, they have struggled to put a number on the intangible harm of an injury — the emotional distress, the lost enjoyment of life, the psychological weight that a hospital bill never captures. Traditional approaches make it worse: they fixate on the negative — pain, symptoms, treatment — while ignoring the positive life that was taken. Yet the absence of pain is not the presence of a fulfilling life, the very insight that gave rise to the field of positive psychology.

So the loss gets priced by multiplying medical bills by a number picked from experience. Two adjusters, two multipliers, two very different lives assigned to the same person — an imprecise, subjective process that yields inconsistent, arbitrary outcomes for people who suffered alike. Suffering deserves better arithmetic.

It's easiest to see in a single case. Maria was rear-ended at a stoplight; her back never fully recovered. Here is what four common methods say her pain and suffering is worth — and how far they disagree.

Maria, 38| rear-ended at a stoplight | chronic back pain, 10-year prognosis | medical bills: $4,800
Method 1 · Industry habit

The multiplier

$14,400
Most injury cases have modest bills — a few thousand dollars, often less. Anchored to the bill, this method can't see the suffering at all.
Method 2 · Advocacy

The per diem

$146,000
Pick a daily rate — why $40 and not $150? — times every day she'll live with it. The total explodes, and many courts bar the argument from the jury for exactly that reason.
Method 3 · Proprietary software

The black box

$,
Claims software prices suffering from what insurers paid before — every past bias included. Methodology: undisclosed.
Happynomics
Our approach

Well-being valuation

$71,600
One bounded range, measured from how back pain actually changes lives — every assumption disclosed, the same answer no matter who asks. Compute it yourself ↓
Happynomics
02The Science

From thousands of lives to one defensible number.

It's the logic an appraiser uses to value a damaged car — compare to comparables — applied to well-being. Drawing on two decades of peer-reviewed research, we compare people living with an injury to demographically similar people without it.

Not everything that counts can be counted, and not everything that can be counted counts.
— William Bruce Cameron
1

Measure the loss

Against demographically similar people without it — same income, age, family, work, even personality — people with chronic back pain report life satisfaction lower by 0.4 points. Measured, not assumed.

2

Convert to dollars

Each lost point-year converts at $20,000 — a deliberately conservative figure grounded in independent U.S. standards (a health cost-per-QALY threshold, the value of a statistical life), not a coefficient chosen to flatter either side.

3

Project honestly

Duration, hedonic adaptation, and discounting are applied in the open — a bounded range with confidence intervals, not a take-it-or-leave-it point estimate.

Happynomics
03The Number

The cost of pain & suffering.

The same engine behind our professional reports — conservative anchor, disclosed assumptions, real confidence intervals. And because the anchor is external: equal suffering, equal compensation, regardless of income.

The case

Sets the horizon for permanent conditions.
Per medical evidence — most soft-tissue injuries resolve within a year; chronic conditions persist.
Central anchor: $20,000 per well-being point-year (sensitivity $15k–$25k) · 3% real discount rate. Methodology →
Estimated well-being loss — present value
$0
—
Well-being gap
—
points per year
Year-one value
—
—
Per day
—
year one, central anchor

Compensation profile over time

Annual loss (bars) · cumulative present value (line)
This is the conservative floor, not the ceiling. Alternative published approaches produce materially higher values for the same conditions. Professional reports present the full evidence range with case-specific analysis. Get the court-ready version →
It measures everything, in short, except that which makes life worthwhile.
— Robert F. Kennedy, on the limits of what we count · 1968
04The Service

From demand letter to trial.

One methodology, four levels of firepower. Flat fees, fast turnarounds, founding-firm pilot pricing for early adopters.

Core product

Population Benchmark Report

from $750
signed · demands, mediation & reserves
  • Signed, condition-specific valuation
  • Present-value range + year-one value
  • Adaptation & duration sensitivity
  • Robustness & three-study validation
Demand letters, mediation, settlement anchors, reserve analysis. See a sample →

Case-Specific Individualization

$2,500–7,500
expert application to your claimant
  • Everything in the Benchmark, plus:
  • Medical-record & injury-evidence review
  • Severity & functional-limitation adjustment
  • Signed declaration, CV & disclosure materials
Filed or high-value matters needing individualized expert testimony.

Expert Testimony & Rebuttal

$450–600/hr
deposition & trial · retainer
  • Deposition and trial testimony
  • Admissibility support briefing
  • Rebuttal of opposing experts
The cases that go the distance.

Firm / Insurer Subscription

Custom
high-volume · condition library
  • Volume benchmark reports
  • Condition library & reserve validation
  • Team training & CLE workshops
Firms and insurers building a repeatable damages practice.

The model doesn't know who hired us.

That is precisely the point. A valuation standard is only credible if it gives the same answer no matter who asks.

For plaintiff counsel

Anchor the demand in science.

Replace "bills × 3" with a professor-signed number that arrives with its confidence interval and its evidence.

  • Defensible anchors that move adjusters
  • Values for losses bills can't see — divorce, grief, lost work
  • Analyses in days, priced for contingency practice
For insurers & defense

Push back with evidence.

Benchmark inflated demands against the peer-reviewed record — including hedonic adaptation, which claimant numbers routinely ignore.

  • Independent demand-response analyses
  • Principled reserve validation at scale
  • Transparent where your current tools are black boxes
ONE MODEL · BOTH SIDES · SAME ANSWER
05The Expert
Dr. Boris Nikolaev

Boris Nikolaev, Ph.D.

Founder · Professor · Happiness Economist

Dr. Nikolaev is a professor at Colorado State University's College of Business and one of the most-published scholars in the economics of happiness and well-being, with more than 50 peer-reviewed articles across economics, psychology, and management.

He has spent fifteen years measuring what life events do to human well-being. Now he does one thing with that science: put careful, transparent numbers on suffering — and explain them so judges, juries, adjusters, and mediators actually understand.

Ph.D., Economics 50+ peer-reviewed publications 15+ years of well-being research Featured by Forbes & Brookings

Journal of Business Venturing · Journal of Applied Psychology · Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization · Journal of Happiness Studies · Entrepreneurship Theory & Practice · Journal of International Business Studies

Asked by every lawyer we meet.

Is this admissible in court?

Most of its value never needs a courtroom: the overwhelming majority of injury cases resolve in demand letters, mediations, and negotiations, where no admissibility gate exists. For filed cases, our reports are engineered against the reliability factors courts apply — peer-reviewed methods, disclosed assumptions and error bounds, standards that exist independent of litigation — and testimony is structured to fit the governing standard in your venue.

How is this different from "hedonic damages"?

The testimony courts grew skeptical of decades ago extrapolated the value of a statistical life from labor-market risk premiums. Well-being valuation is a different tradition: it measures how conditions actually change the reported well-being of people living with them, then converts that loss using an external, government-adopted standard. Conservative, bounded, and testable.

Where do the numbers come from?

From nationally representative surveys of thousands of Americans, analyzed with the same class of statistical models used across two decades of peer-reviewed well-being research — with controls for income, age, gender, family, work status, and personality. Every estimate carries a confidence interval, and full technical documentation accompanies professional engagements.

Do you work for plaintiffs or defense?

Both. The model produces the same valuation regardless of who retains us — which is exactly what makes it useful to either side, and to mediators looking for a neutral starting point.

What conditions can you value?

Chronic pain across the major sites — back, neck, head, knees, shoulders, hips, arms, legs — plus life events including divorce, bereavement, job loss, and discrimination. Additional conditions and datasets are added continuously; if your case involves something you don't see here, ask.

Bring a number they can't wave away.

See a sample Population Benchmark Report — a signed, condition-specific valuation for demands, mediation, and reserves. Or send your case below for a free 20-minute consult.

See the sample report
or send us your case →
Happynomics Fort Collins, Colorado
borisnikolaev@gmail.com

Turnaround Replies within one business day. Analyses in days, not weeks.
06Start a Case

Tell us about the case.

Send the essentials and Dr. Nikolaev will reply within one business day with a scope, a flat fee, and a turnaround — or questions if we need more. No obligation.

  • Free 20-minute case consult
  • Flat fees, quoted up front
  • Analyses in days, not weeks